| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Lens | 7 | 9 | 17 |
| 2 | Paris Saint-Germain | 6 | 20 | 16 |
| 3 | Marseille | 6 | 10 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Nice | 6 | -4 | 5 |
| 17 | Brest | 6 | -8 | 5 |
| 18 | Strasbourg | 6 | -2 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 85.91%. A draw had a probability of 9.6% and a win for Brest had a probability of 4.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.28%) and 4-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.53%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (1.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Brest |
| 85.91% ( | 9.63% ( | 4.46% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.89% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.87% ( | 27.13% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.34% ( | 47.66% ( |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.72% | 4.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 82.24% ( | 17.75% ( |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.89% ( | 53.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.28% ( | 86.72% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Brest |
| 3-0 @ 11.85% ( 2-0 @ 11.28% ( 4-0 @ 9.34% ( 3-1 @ 7.5% ( 1-0 @ 7.16% ( 2-1 @ 7.14% ( 4-1 @ 5.91% ( 5-0 @ 5.89% ( 5-1 @ 3.73% ( 6-0 @ 3.09% 3-2 @ 2.37% ( 6-1 @ 1.96% ( 4-2 @ 1.87% ( 7-0 @ 1.39% 5-2 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 4.24% Total : 85.91% | 1-1 @ 4.53% 0-0 @ 2.27% ( 2-2 @ 2.26% ( Other @ 0.57% Total : 9.63% | 0-1 @ 1.44% 1-2 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 1.59% Total : 4.46% |