Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 6

Sep 4, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stade Francis-Le Blé

Brest
1 - 1
Strasbourg

Lees-Melou (6')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Ajorque (28' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

Last Six:

Last Game: Rennes 3-1 Brest
Wednesday, August 31 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Monaco	5	-4	5
17	Brest	5	-8	4
18	Strasbourg	5	-2	3

Strasbourg

Last Six:

Last Game: Strasbourg 1-1 Nantes
Wednesday, August 31 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Brest	5	-8	4
18	Strasbourg	5	-2	3
19	Angers	6	-11	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Brest had a probability of 29.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Brest	Draw	Strasbourg
29.15% ( -0.2)	27.35% ( 0.07)	43.5% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 47.96% (

-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.78% (

-0.34)

57.22% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.93% (

-0.27)

78.07% (

0.27)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.9% (

-0.33)

35.09% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.16% (

-0.35)

71.84% (

0.35)

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.9% (

-0.09)

26.1% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.85% (

-0.12)

61.15% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Brest 29.16%

Strasbourg 43.49%

Draw 27.34%

Brest	Draw	Strasbourg
1-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.11% Total : 29.16%	1-1 @ 12.88% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.34%	0-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 8.65% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.26% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 2.13% Total : 43.49%