Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5

Aug 31, 2022 at 8pm UK

Route de Lorient

Rennes
3 - 1
Brest

Rodon (53'), Terrier (89'), Doue (90+1')
Assignon (61'), Tait (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Honorat (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Rennes and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rennes

Last Six:

Last Game: Lens 2-1 Rennes
Saturday, August 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Monaco	4	-2	5
13	Rennes	4	-1	4
14	Brest	4	-6	4

Brest

Last Six:

Last Game: Brest 0-7 Montpellier
Sunday, August 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	Rennes	4	-1	4
14	Brest	4	-6	4
15	Troyes	4	-5	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 72.87%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Brest had a probability of 9.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.89%) and 3-0 (10.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.

Result
Rennes	Draw	Brest
72.87% ( -0.03)	17.28% ( 0.02)	9.85% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 44.56% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.32% (

-0.04)

43.68% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.93% (

-0.04)

66.07% (

0.04)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.46% (

-0.02)

10.54% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.75% (

-0.04)

34.25% (

0.04)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.81% (

50.19% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.21% (

84.79% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Rennes 72.85%

Brest 9.85%

Draw 17.28%

Rennes	Draw	Brest
2-0 @ 13.38% 1-0 @ 11.89% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 10.04% 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.92% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.9% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.54% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.75% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0) 6-0 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.86% Total : 72.85%	1-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.18% ( 0) Other @ 0.61% Total : 17.28%	0-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 2.83% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 2.12% Total : 9.85%