Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4

Aug 27, 2022 at 4pm UK

Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps

Auxerre
1 - 0
Strasbourg

Perrin (29')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bellegarde (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Auxerre and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Auxerre

Last Six:

Last Game: Montpellier 1-2 Auxerre
Sunday, August 21 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Rennes	3	0	4
11	Auxerre	3	-2	4
12	Monaco	3	-2	4

Strasbourg

Last Six:

Last Game: Strasbourg 1-1 Reims
Sunday, August 21 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	Montpellier HSC	3	-3	3
14	Strasbourg	3	-1	2
15	Nantes	3	-1	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Auxerre in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Auxerre.

Result
Auxerre	Draw	Strasbourg
40.99% ( 2.13)	27.06% ( -0.18)	31.95% ( -1.95)

Both teams to score 49.99% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.79% (

0.32)

55.21% (

-0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.56% (

0.26)

76.44% (

-0.26)

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.51% (

1.33)

26.49% (

-1.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.32% (

1.73)

61.68% (

-1.73)

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68% (

-1.15)

32% (

1.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.54% (

-1.33)

68.46% (

1.34)

Score Analysis

Auxerre 40.99%

Strasbourg 31.95%

Draw 27.06%

Auxerre	Draw	Strasbourg
1-0 @ 11.26% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.46) 3-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.25) 3-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.32) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.14% Total : 40.99%	1-1 @ 12.83% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 8.48% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0) Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.06%	0-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.43) 1-2 @ 7.31% ( -0.28) 0-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.43) 1-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.24) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.77% Total : 31.95%