Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 8

Sep 18, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stade de Gerland

Lyon
0 - 1
PSG

FT(HT: 0-1)

Messi (5')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

Last Six:

Last Game: Monaco 2-1 Lyon
Sunday, September 11 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Lens	7	9	17
5	Lyon	7	7	13
6	Lille	8	0	13

Paris Saint-Germain

Last Six:

Last Game: Maccabi Haifa 1-3 PSG
Wednesday, September 14 at 8pm in Champions League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Paris Saint-Germain	7	21	19
2	Marseille	7	11	19
3	Lorient	8	5	19

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 56.5%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 22.93% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.22%) and 1-3 (6.81%). The likeliest Lyon win was 2-1 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Lyon	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
22.93% ( 0.09)	20.56% ( 0.03)	56.5% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 64.67% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.32% (

-0.02)

32.68% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.64% (

-0.02)

54.36% (

0.02)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.18% (

0.06)

26.81% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.89% (

0.08)

62.1% (

-0.08)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.37% (

-0.04)

11.63% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.35% (

-0.08)

36.65% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Lyon 22.93%

Paris Saint-Germain 56.5%

Draw 20.56%

Lyon	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 5.81% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.93% Total : 22.93%	1-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.12% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.97% ( 0) Other @ 0.39% Total : 20.56%	1-2 @ 9.5% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.22% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 6.81% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.71% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.18% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 4.49% 1-4 @ 3.67% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 2.41% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 1.06% 2-5 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 2.87% Total : 56.5%