Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 3

Aug 19, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade de Gerland

Lyon
4 - 1
Troyes

Lacazette (3'), Tagliafico (46'), Tete (49', 75')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Tardieu (39' pen.)
Kouame (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Troyes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

Last Six:

Last Game: Lyon 2-1 Ajaccio
Friday, August 5 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Monaco	2	1	4
7	Lyon	1	1	3
8	Lorient	1	1	3

Troyes

Last Six:

Last Game: Troyes 0-3 Toulouse
Sunday, August 14 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Auxerre	2	-3	1
19	Troyes	2	-4	0
20	Reims	2	-5	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 72.55%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 10.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.36%) and 3-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (3.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
Lyon	Draw	Troyes
72.55% ( -0.25)	16.88% ( 0.09)	10.56% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 48.69% (

0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.32% (

0.07)

39.68% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.97% (

0.08)

62.03% (

-0.08)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.43% (

-0.04)

9.57% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.98% (

-0.1)

32.01% (

0.1)

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.84% (

0.36)

46.15% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.16% (

0.28)

81.84% (

-0.28)

Score Analysis

Lyon 72.55%

Troyes 10.56%

Draw 16.88%

Lyon	Draw	Troyes
2-0 @ 12.15% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 10.36% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 4.32% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.68% Total : 72.55%	1-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.82% Total : 16.88%	0-1 @ 3.41% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.79% Total : 10.56%