Ligue 1 Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2022 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Tete 29' goal
  • Karl Toko Ekambi 72' goal
  • goal Mathias Autret 80'

Lyon vs Auxerre - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions
Last game
Aug 28, 2022 4.05pm
Reims 1 - 1 Lyon
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Alexandre Lacazette

Auxerre

All competitions
Last game
Aug 27, 2022 4.00pm
Auxerre 1 - 0 Strasbourg
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
M'Baye Niang

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 69.67%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 12.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for an Auxerre win it was 1-2 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lyon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lyon.

Result

Lyon 69.67% (+0.15)
Draw 17.37% (-0.07)
Auxerre 12.96% (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.26% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 64.7% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 35.3% (-0.09)
Over 3.5 42.67% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 57.32% (-0.10)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5 90.89% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 9.11% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 69.06% (+0.14)
Under 1.5 30.93% (-0.14)

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5 60.8% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 39.2% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 24.09% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 75.91% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Lyon 69.66%
Draw 17.37%
Auxerre 12.96%
Lyon
2-0 @ 10.24%
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 8.56% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 8.18% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 7.67% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 4.9% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 4.59% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.59% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 2.35% (+0.03)
5-1 @ 2.2% (+0.02)
4-2 @ 2.15% (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.03% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.61%
Total : 69.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.01% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 3.57% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 17.37%
Auxerre
1-2 @ 3.75% (-0.03)
0-1 @ 3.35% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 1.57% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.17% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 12.96%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Apr 7, 2012 4.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1
Nov 27, 2011 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT