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Lyon
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2022 at 6pm UK
Stade de Gerland
AJ Auxerre
Lyon
2 - 1
Auxerre
Tete (29'), Toko Ekambi (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Autret (80')
Ruiz-Atil (57'), Perrin (90+2')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reims 1-1 Lyon
Sunday, August 28 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lyon 2-1 Auxerre

Look for Lyon to be in a foul mood following a sub-par performance over the weekend, as we anticipate their overall quality will step up on Wednesday against one of the early surprises of the top-flight campaign. Auxerre have come a long way since losing their opening fixture, but they defend deep and rarely take chances going forward with fewer than 40% possession in three matches this season, and we do not believe they will be able to contain a Lyon side with so many attacking weapons over 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 69.67%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 12.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for an Auxerre win it was 1-2 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lyon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lyon.

Result
LyonDrawAuxerre
69.67% (0.148 0.15) 17.37% (-0.061 -0.06) 12.96% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 55.26% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.7% (0.084999999999994 0.08)35.3% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.67% (0.097000000000001 0.1)57.32% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.89% (0.055999999999997 0.06)9.11% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.06% (0.137 0.14)30.93% (-0.139 -0.14)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.8% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)39.2% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.09% (-0.067 -0.07)75.91% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 69.66%
    Auxerre 12.96%
    Draw 17.37%
LyonDrawAuxerre
2-0 @ 10.24%
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.56% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 8.18% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.67% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.9% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 4.59% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.59% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
5-0 @ 2.35% (0.02 0.02)
5-1 @ 2.2% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-2 @ 1.03% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
6-0 @ 0.94% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 69.66%
1-1 @ 8.01% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.57% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 17.37%
1-2 @ 3.75% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-1 @ 3.35% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.57% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.17% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 12.96%

How you voted: Lyon vs Auxerre

Lyon
82.2%
Draw
13.3%
Auxerre
4.4%
45
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2012 4pm
Nov 27, 2011 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG15113138122636
2Nice159511661032
3MonacoMonaco1593331201130
4Lille157621911827
5Brest157441915425
6Marseille156542216623
7Lens156541915423
8Reims157262121023
9NantesNantes155371925-618
10StrasbourgStrasbourg154561420-617
11Le HavreLe Havre153751317-416
12Metz154471523-816
13Rennes153662021-115
14Montpellier HSCMontpellier153661720-314
15Toulouse152761421-713
16Lorient152672029-912
17Clermont15258921-1211
18Lyon152491427-1310

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