Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5

Aug 31, 2022 at 6pm UK

Stade de Gerland

Lyon
2 - 1
Auxerre

Tete (29'), Toko Ekambi (72')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Autret (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

Last Six:

Last Game: Reims 1-1 Lyon
Sunday, August 28 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Lens	4	5	10
4	Lyon	3	4	7
5	Lorient	3	2	7

Auxerre

Last Six:

Last Game: Auxerre 1-0 Strasbourg
Saturday, August 27 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Lille	4	-1	7
7	Auxerre	4	-1	7
8	Montpellier HSC	4	4	6

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 69.67%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 12.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for an Auxerre win it was 1-2 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lyon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lyon.

Result
Lyon	Draw	Auxerre
69.67% ( 0.15)	17.37% ( -0.06)	12.96% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 55.26% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.7% (

0.08)

35.3% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.67% (

0.1)

57.32% (

-0.1)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.89% (

0.06)

9.11% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.06% (

0.14)

30.93% (

-0.14)

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.8% (

-0.07)

39.2% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.09% (

-0.07)

75.91% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Lyon 69.66%

Auxerre 12.96%

Draw 17.37%

Lyon	Draw	Auxerre
2-0 @ 10.24% 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 4.59% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.59% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.15% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.67% Total : 69.66%	1-1 @ 8.01% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 17.37%	1-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.72% Total : 12.96%