| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Rennes | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 | Monaco | 6 | -3 | 8 |
| 11 | Troyes | 7 | -4 | 7 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Lens | 7 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | Lyon | 6 | 8 | 13 |
| 5 | Lorient | 6 | 2 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 36.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.17%) and 0-2 (5.67%). The likeliest Monaco win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Monaco in this match.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Lyon |
| 36.58% ( | 23.87% ( | 39.55% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.92% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.74% ( | 40.26% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.37% ( | 62.63% ( |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.96% ( | 22.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.63% ( | 55.36% ( |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.42% ( | 20.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.89% ( | 53.11% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Monaco | Draw | Lyon |
| 2-1 @ 8.2% ( 1-0 @ 6.86% ( 2-0 @ 5.19% ( 3-1 @ 4.13% ( 3-2 @ 3.27% ( 3-0 @ 2.62% ( 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 4-2 @ 1.24% ( 4-0 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.53% Total : 36.58% | 1-1 @ 10.84% ( 2-2 @ 6.48% ( 0-0 @ 4.54% ( 3-3 @ 1.72% ( Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.86% | 1-2 @ 8.57% ( 0-1 @ 7.17% ( 0-2 @ 5.67% ( 1-3 @ 4.52% ( 2-3 @ 3.42% ( 0-3 @ 2.99% ( 1-4 @ 1.79% ( 2-4 @ 1.35% ( 0-4 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 2.91% Total : 39.55% |