Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Sep 8, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stadion Rajko Mitić

Red Star
0 - 1
Monaco

FT(HT: 0-0)

Embolo (74' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Red Star Belgrade and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Red Star Belgrade

Last Game: Red Star 2-2 Maccabi Haifa
Tuesday, August 23 at 8pm in Champions League

Monaco

Last Six:

Last Game: Nice 0-1 Monaco
Sunday, September 4 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Rennes	6	1	8
10	Monaco	6	-3	8
11	Troyes	6	-3	7

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 30.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Red Star Belgrade win was 1-0 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Monaco in this match.

Result
Red Star Belgrade	Draw	Monaco
30.71% ( 0.01)	25.24% ( 0.04)	44.05% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 55.27% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.84% (

-0.15)

48.16% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.68% (

-0.14)

70.32% (

0.13)

Red Star Belgrade Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.72% (

-0.07)

29.28% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.76% (

-0.08)

65.24% (

0.08)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.15% (

-0.09)

21.85% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.92% (

-0.13)

55.08% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Red Star Belgrade 30.71%

Monaco 44.05%

Draw 25.23%

Red Star Belgrade	Draw	Monaco
1-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.34% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.98% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 30.71%	1-1 @ 11.95% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.23%	0-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.09% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.4% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.61% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.43% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.38% Total : 44.05%