Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 55.01%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for FC Pyunik had a probability of 20.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a FC Pyunik win it was 0-1 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Red Star Belgrade would win this match.

Result
Red Star Belgrade	Draw	FC Pyunik
55.01% ( -0.2)	24.21% ( -0.24)	20.79% ( 0.46)

Both teams to score 49.22% (

1.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.35% (

1.47)

51.65% (

-1.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.57% (

1.27)

73.43% (

-1.26)

Red Star Belgrade Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.33% (

0.48)

18.67% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50% (

0.8)

50% (

-0.8)

FC Pyunik Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.52% (

1.32)

39.48% (

-1.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.83% (

1.21)

76.17% (

-1.2)

Score Analysis

Red Star Belgrade 55.01%

FC Pyunik 20.79%

Draw 24.2%

Red Star Belgrade	Draw	FC Pyunik
1-0 @ 12.37% ( -0.54) 2-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.29) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 5.4% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.15% Total : 55.01%	1-1 @ 11.49% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.37% ( -0.44) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.19) Other @ 0.86% Total : 24.2%	0-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.38% Total : 20.79%