Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 9, 2022 at 6pm UK
Yerevan Football Academy
Red Star Belgrade

Pyunik
0 - 2
Red Star


Juninho (28'), Avagyan (43')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kanga (44' pen.), Pavkov (60')
Erakovic (33'), Dragovic (79'), Mustapha (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between FC Pyunik and Red Star Belgrade, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Red Star 5-0 Pyunik
Wednesday, August 3 at 7.45pm in Champions League
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Last Game: Red Star 5-0 Pyunik
Wednesday, August 3 at 7.45pm in Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 41.78%. A win for FC Pyunik had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest FC Pyunik win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Red Star Belgrade would win this match.

Result
FC PyunikDrawRed Star Belgrade
32.15% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)26.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)41.78% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 53.15% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.81% (0.012999999999998 0.01)51.18% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.97% (0.011000000000003 0.01)73.03% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
FC Pyunik Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.17% (0.010000000000005 0.01)29.83% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.09% (0.012 0.01)65.91% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Red Star Belgrade Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.74% (0.0040000000000049 0)24.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.38% (0.0049999999999955 0)58.61% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Score Analysis
    FC Pyunik 32.15%
    Red Star Belgrade 41.77%
    Draw 26.06%
FC PyunikDrawRed Star Belgrade
1-0 @ 8.75% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-1 @ 7.5% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 5.29%
3-1 @ 3.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 32.15%
1-1 @ 12.39%
0-0 @ 7.23% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 5.31% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.06%
0-1 @ 10.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.78%
0-2 @ 7.26% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.15% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 3.43%
2-3 @ 2.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.47%
0-4 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 41.77%

How you voted: Pyunik vs Red Star

FC Pyunik
20.0%
Draw
8.9%
Red Star Belgrade
71.1%
45
Head to Head
Aug 3, 2022 7.45pm
Red Star
5-0
Pyunik
Bukari (29', 44', 70'), Kangwa (33'), Mitrovic (77')
Katai (25'), Dragovic (39'), Rodic (89')
Rodic (90')

Gonzalez (80'), Kovalenko (90+2')