Rangers' impressive victory over Dortmund will provide them with plenty of confidence for their two-legged tie with Red Star, and although the visitors may frustrate the hosts at times on Thursday night, Van Bronckhorst's men should do enough in front of the Ibrox faithful to secure a slender win and take an advantage into next week's second leg.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 61%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 16.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.98%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Red Star Belgrade win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.
