Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 57.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 19.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Red Star Belgrade win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Red Star Belgrade |
| 57.73% | 23.25% | 19.02% |
| Both teams to score 49.34% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.92% | 50.08% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.95% | 72.05% |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.91% | 17.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.71% | 47.29% |
| Red Star Belgrade Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.52% | 40.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.91% | 77.09% |
| Score Analysis |
Braga 57.72%
Red Star Belgrade 19.02%
Draw 23.25%
| Braga | Draw | Red Star Belgrade |
| 1-0 @ 12.22% 2-0 @ 10.79% 2-1 @ 9.76% 3-0 @ 6.36% 3-1 @ 5.75% 4-0 @ 2.81% 3-2 @ 2.6% 4-1 @ 2.54% 4-2 @ 1.15% 5-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.75% Total : 57.72% | 1-1 @ 11.05% 0-0 @ 6.92% 2-2 @ 4.42% Other @ 0.87% Total : 23.25% | 0-1 @ 6.26% 1-2 @ 5% 0-2 @ 2.83% 1-3 @ 1.51% 2-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.1% Total : 19.02% |
How you voted: Braga vs Red Star
Braga
69.9%Draw
15.0%Red Star Belgrade
15.0%113


