Braga
Europa League | Group Stage
Dec 9, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal
Red Star Belgrade

Braga
1 - 1
Red Star

Galeno (52' pen.)
Leite (36')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Katai (70' pen.)
Katai (45+2'), Dragovic (81'), Degenek (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Braga and Red Star Belgrade, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 57.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 19.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Red Star Belgrade win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
BragaDrawRed Star Belgrade
57.73%23.25%19.02%
Both teams to score 49.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.92%50.08%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.95%72.05%
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.91%17.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.71%47.29%
Red Star Belgrade Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.52%40.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.91%77.09%
Score Analysis
    Braga 57.72%
    Red Star Belgrade 19.02%
    Draw 23.25%
BragaDrawRed Star Belgrade
1-0 @ 12.22%
2-0 @ 10.79%
2-1 @ 9.76%
3-0 @ 6.36%
3-1 @ 5.75%
4-0 @ 2.81%
3-2 @ 2.6%
4-1 @ 2.54%
4-2 @ 1.15%
5-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 57.72%
1-1 @ 11.05%
0-0 @ 6.92%
2-2 @ 4.42%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 23.25%
0-1 @ 6.26%
1-2 @ 5%
0-2 @ 2.83%
1-3 @ 1.51%
2-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 19.02%

How you voted: Braga vs Red Star

Braga
69.9%
Draw
15.0%
Red Star Belgrade
15.0%
113