Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 41.97%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Monaco win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.