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Ligue 1

Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Lille-Metropole
Nice

Lille
1 - 2
Nice

Bamba (20')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Delort (22' pen.), Pepe (29' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

Last Six:
Last Game: Ajaccio 1-3 Lille
Friday, August 26 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Nice

Last Six:
Last Game: Nice 0-3 Marseille
Sunday, August 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 47.99%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Nice had a probability of 24.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
LilleDrawNice
47.99% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)27.02% (0.0039999999999978 0)24.99% (0.0059999999999967 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.03% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.72% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)58.28% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.09% (-0.004999999999999 -0)78.91% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.64% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)24.36% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.24% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)58.76% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.85% (0.0039999999999978 0)39.15% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.13%75.87% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Score Analysis
    Lille 47.98%
    Nice 24.99%
    Draw 27.02%
LilleDrawNice
1-0 @ 13.46%
2-0 @ 9.51% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-1 @ 8.92% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 4.48% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.2% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 1.97%
4-0 @ 1.58% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 47.98%
1-1 @ 12.63% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.18%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 27.02%
0-1 @ 8.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 5.92% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 4.19% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.85%
0-3 @ 1.31% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 24.99%

How you voted: Lille vs Nice

Lille
67.5%
Draw
20.0%
Nice
12.5%
80
Head to Head
May 14, 2022 8pm
Nice
1-3
Lille
Kluivert (31')
Lotomba (45'), Kluivert (90+1'), Galtier (90+2')
David (52', 61'), Weah (90+4')
Gudmundsson (12'), Gomes (66'), Weah (90+3')
Aug 14, 2021 4pm
Lille
0-4
Nice

Celik (35'), Andre (45+2'), Yazici (56')
Dolberg (1', 64'), Boudaoui (5'), Gouiri (45+3' pen.)
Atal (21')
May 1, 2021 8pm
Lille
2-0
Nice
Yilmaz (13'), Celik (56')
Celik (21'), Claude-Maurice (27'), Lotomba (34'), C. (36'), Xeka (87')
Lotomba (48')
Oct 25, 2020 4pm
Nice
1-1
Lille
Dolberg (50')
Lees-Melou (10')
Yilmaz (58')
Botman (43'), Araujo (64'), Celik (75'), Yilmaz (78'), Fonte (84'), Maignan (89')
Apr 18, 2020 7pm
Lille
P-P
Nice