Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4

Aug 28, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stade Municipal du Ray

Nice
0 - 3
Marseille

Beka Beka (57')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Sanchez (10', 42'), Tavares (37')
Tavares (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nice

Last Six:

Last Game: Nice 2-0 Maccabi Tel Aviv (0-0 pen.)
Thursday, August 25 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Nantes	3	-1	2
15	Nice	3	-1	2
16	Angers	3	-2	2

Marseille

Last Six:

Last Game: Marseille 2-1 Nantes
Saturday, August 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Paris Saint-Germain	3	14	9
3	Marseille	3	4	7
4	Lille	4	-1	7

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
Nice	Draw	Marseille
37.06% ( -0.06)	27.48% ( -0.2)	35.46% ( 0.27)

Both teams to score 49.38% (

0.64)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.72% (

0.79)

56.28% (

-0.79)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.68% (

0.64)

77.32% (

-0.64)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.77% (

0.35)

29.23% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.81% (

0.43)

65.18% (

-0.43)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.78% (

0.57)

30.22% (

-0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.61% (

0.67)

66.38% (

-0.67)

Score Analysis

Nice 37.06%

Marseille 35.46%

Draw 27.48%

Nice	Draw	Marseille
1-0 @ 10.86% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 8% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.74% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.53% Total : 37.06%	1-1 @ 13% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.48%	0-1 @ 10.57% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 7.78% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 6.32% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.32% Total : 35.46%