Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 76.47%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Angers had a probability of 8.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.42%) and 1-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.11%), while for an Angers win it was 0-1 (2.82%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.