| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Marseille | 5 | 8 | 13 |
| 4 | Lyon | 4 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Montpellier HSC | 5 | 6 | 9 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Strasbourg | 5 | -2 | 3 |
| 19 | Angers | 5 | -6 | 2 |
| 20 | Ajaccio | 5 | -6 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 76.47%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Angers had a probability of 8.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.42%) and 1-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.11%), while for an Angers win it was 0-1 (2.82%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Angers |
| 76.47% ( | 14.98% ( | 8.54% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.32% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.92% ( | 37.07% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.73% ( | 59.27% ( |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.96% ( | 8.03% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.71% ( | 28.29% ( |
| Angers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.46% ( | 48.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.38% ( | 83.62% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lyon | Draw | Angers |
| 2-0 @ 12.39% ( 3-0 @ 10.42% ( 1-0 @ 9.83% ( 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 3-1 @ 7.53% ( 4-0 @ 6.57% ( 4-1 @ 4.75% ( 5-0 @ 3.31% ( 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 5-1 @ 2.39% ( 4-2 @ 1.72% ( 6-0 @ 1.39% ( 6-1 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 3.47% Total : 76.47% | 1-1 @ 7.11% ( 0-0 @ 3.9% ( 2-2 @ 3.24% ( Other @ 0.74% Total : 14.98% | 0-1 @ 2.82% ( 1-2 @ 2.57% ( 0-2 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.14% Total : 8.54% |