Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 45.95%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Angers had a probability of 26.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for an Angers win it was 0-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Troyes would win this match.