Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4

Aug 28, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stade de l'Aube

Troyes
3 - 1
Angers

Ripart (12'), Balde (61'), Odobert (82')
Salmier (31'), Rami (45')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Diony (67')
Mendy (11'), Taibi (71')
Mendy (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Troyes and Angers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Troyes

Last Six:

Last Game: Lyon 4-1 Troyes
Friday, August 19 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Ajaccio	4	-4	1
19	Reims	3	-5	1
20	Troyes	3	-7	0

Angers

Last Six:

Last Game: Angers 1-3 Brest
Sunday, August 21 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
15	Nice	3	-1	2
16	Angers	3	-2	2
17	Strasbourg	4	-2	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 45.95%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Angers had a probability of 26.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for an Angers win it was 0-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Troyes would win this match.

Result
Troyes	Draw	Angers
45.95% ( -0.11)	27.11% ( 0.09)	26.94% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 47.28% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.56% (

-0.3)

57.44% (

0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.75% (

-0.24)

78.24% (

0.23)

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.04% (

-0.19)

24.96% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.39% (

-0.26)

59.6% (

0.25)

Angers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63% (

-0.14)

36.99% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.22% (

-0.14)

73.78% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Troyes 45.94%

Angers 26.94%

Draw 27.11%

Troyes	Draw	Angers
1-0 @ 12.81% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.09% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.31% Total : 45.94%	1-1 @ 12.74% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.11%	0-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.51% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.78% Total : 26.94%