Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8

Oct 1, 2022 at 8.30pm UK

Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
0 - 0
Benfica

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Last Game: Arouca 2-2 Guimaraes
Sunday, September 18 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Benfica 5-0 Maritimo
Sunday, September 18 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 56.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 20.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.57%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 1-0 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Benfica
20.04% ( 0.43)	23.86% ( 0.36)	56.1% ( -0.8)

Both teams to score 49.16% (

-0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.84% (

-0.9)

51.16% (

0.9)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.99% (

-0.79)

73.01% (

0.79)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.01% (

-0.05)

39.99% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.36% (

-0.04)

76.64% (

0.04)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.92% (

-0.62)

18.08% (

0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51% (

-1.07)

49% (

1.07)

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 20.04%

Benfica 56.09%

Draw 23.86%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Benfica
1-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.31% Total : 20.04%	1-1 @ 11.33% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.86% Total : 23.86%	0-1 @ 12.36% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 10.57% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 9.69% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 6.03% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 5.53% ( -0.15) 0-4 @ 2.58% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 2.36% ( -0.11) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.35% Total : 56.09%