Primeira Liga | Gameweek 7

Sep 18, 2022 at 3.30pm UK

Estádio Municipal de Arouca

Arouca
2 - 2
Guimaraes

Bukia (33'), Quaresma (70')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Silva (57'), Lameiras (90+12' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

Last Six:

Last Game: Arouca 1-2 Boavista
Sunday, September 11 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Chaves	7	-2	8
12	Arouca	6	-9	7
13	Rio Ave	7	-3	6

Vitoria de Guimaraes

Last Six:

Last Game: Guimaraes 1-0 Santa Clara
Friday, September 9 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Sporting Lisbon	7	3	10
9	Vitoria de Guimaraes	6	0	9
10	Gil Vicente	7	-1	9

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 35.39%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.15%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (12.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Arouca	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
35.39% ( -0.03)	29.9% ( 0.06)	34.71% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 42.41% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.22% (

-0.19)

64.77% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.27% (

-0.13)

83.73% (

0.13)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.35% (

-0.12)

34.64% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.63% (

-0.13)

71.37% (

0.13)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.9% (

-0.12)

35.1% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.15% (

-0.12)

71.85% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Arouca 35.39%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 34.71%

Draw 29.89%

Arouca	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 12.89% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.83% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 35.39%	1-1 @ 13.49% 0-0 @ 12.16% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.89%	0-1 @ 12.73% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.67% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.16% Total : 34.71%