Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 43.47%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Casa Pia
43.47% ( -0.06)	26.06% ( -0)	30.47% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 52.5% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.29% (

0.03)

51.71% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.52% (

0.03)

73.48% (

-0.03)

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.35% (

-0.01)

23.64% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.26% (

-0.02)

57.74% (

0.02)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.75% (

0.06)

31.24% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.41% (

0.07)

67.59% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Pacos de Ferreira 43.47%

Casa Pia 30.47%

Draw 26.05%

Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Casa Pia
1-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.3% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.33% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 1.94% Total : 43.47%	1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.05%	0-1 @ 8.59% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.21% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.92% Total : 30.47%