Primeira Liga Gameweek 10
Oct 22, 2022 8.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio José Alvalade
  • Paulinho 57' goal
  • Nuno Santos 59' goal
  • Pedro Goncalves 65' goal
  • goal Clayton 43'

Sporting Lisbon vs Casa Pia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Last game
Oct 8, 2022 3.30pm
Santa Clara 1 - 2 Sporting Lisbon
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Pedro Goncalves

Casa Pia

All competitions
Last game
Oct 9, 2022 6.00pm
Casa Pia 0 - 1 Vizela
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Rafael Martins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 61.79%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 17.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result

Sporting Lisbon 61.79% (-0.03)
Draw 21.13% (+0.01)
Casa Pia 17.08% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.41% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.86% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 44.14% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 33.48% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 66.52% (-0.01)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5 86.25% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 13.75% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 58.97% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 41.02% (+0.01)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5 60.76% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 39.24% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 24.05% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 75.94% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Sporting Lisbon 61.79%
Draw 21.13%
Casa Pia 17.08%
Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 10.7%
2-0 @ 10.62%
2-1 @ 9.94%
3-0 @ 7.03% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.57% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.49% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.26% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.07% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.53%
5-0 @ 1.38% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.29% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 61.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.01%
0-0 @ 5.39% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.65% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 21.13%
Casa Pia
0-1 @ 5.05% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.68% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.36% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.46% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.45% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 17.08%