Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8

Sep 30, 2022 at 7pm UK

Estádio José Alvalade

Sporting Lisbon
3 - 1
Gil Vicente

Morita (16'), Goncalves (22'), Rochinha (82')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Navarro (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Boavista 2-1 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, September 17 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Gil Vicente 2-2 Rio Ave
Saturday, September 17 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 68.37%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 12.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.9%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Gil Vicente
68.37% ( 2.08)	18.74% ( -0.62)	12.89% ( -1.45)

Both teams to score 49.96% (

-1.95)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.94% (

-0.5)

42.05% (

0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.54% (

-0.5)

64.46% (

0.51)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.74% (

0.42)

11.26% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.15% (

0.89)

35.85% (

-0.89)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.3% (

-2.47)

43.7% (

2.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.12% (

-2.12)

79.87% (

2.12)

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 68.36%

Gil Vicente 12.89%

Draw 18.74%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Gil Vicente
2-0 @ 11.73% ( 0.64) 1-0 @ 10.74% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.6) 3-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.4) 4-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.19) 5-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.2) 5-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.79% Total : 68.36%	1-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.34) Other @ 0.91% Total : 18.74%	0-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.38) 0-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.18) Other @ 1.32% Total : 12.89%