| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Portimonense | 7 | 2 | 15 |
| 5 | Boavista | 6 | -1 | 12 |
| 6 | Casa Pia | 6 | 3 | 11 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Casa Pia | 6 | 3 | 11 |
| 7 | Sporting Lisbon | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Estoril Praia | 6 | 3 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 61.17%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 17.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.27%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 17.68% ( | 21.15% ( | 61.17% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.57% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.8% ( | 43.2% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.4% ( | 65.6% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.03% ( | 37.97% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.26% ( | 74.74% ( |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.36% ( | 13.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.2% ( | 40.8% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 1-0 @ 5.01% ( 2-1 @ 4.84% ( 2-0 @ 2.43% ( 3-1 @ 1.56% ( 3-2 @ 1.56% ( Other @ 2.28% Total : 17.68% | 1-1 @ 9.99% ( 0-0 @ 5.18% ( 2-2 @ 4.82% ( 3-3 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.15% | 0-1 @ 10.31% ( 0-2 @ 10.27% ( 1-2 @ 9.95% ( 0-3 @ 6.83% ( 1-3 @ 6.61% ( 0-4 @ 3.4% ( 1-4 @ 3.29% ( 2-3 @ 3.2% ( 2-4 @ 1.59% ( 0-5 @ 1.36% ( 1-5 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 3.03% Total : 61.16% |