Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.