Primeira Liga | Gameweek 9

Oct 8, 2022 at 3.30pm UK

Estádio de São Miguel

Santa Clara
1 - 2
Sporting Lisbon

Tagawa (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Morita (29'), Santos (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Santa Clara and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Santa Clara

All competitions

Last Game: Rio Ave 1-0 Santa Clara
Sunday, October 2 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Marseille 4-1 Sporting Lisbon
Tuesday, October 4 at 6pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 52.11%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 24.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 1-0 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Santa Clara	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
24.27% ( 0.04)	23.61% ( 0.12)	52.11% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 55.51% (

-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.51% (

-0.47)

45.48% (

0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.18% (

-0.45)

67.81% (

0.45)

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.24% (

-0.23)

32.75% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.68% (

-0.25)

69.31% (

0.26)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.55% (

-0.23)

17.45% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.08% (

-0.4)

47.91% (

0.41)

Score Analysis

Santa Clara 24.27%

Sporting Lisbon 52.12%

Draw 23.6%

Santa Clara	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 6.22% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.32% ( 0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 24.27%	1-1 @ 11.13% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.6%	0-1 @ 9.98% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 9.72% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.71% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 5.66% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 5.07% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 2.47% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 2.21% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.76% Total : 52.12%