Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11

Oct 28, 2022 at 8.15pm UK

Estádio da Capital do Móvel

Pacos de Ferreira
0 - 1
Maritimo

FT(HT: 0-1)

Andres Ramirez (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Pacos de Ferreira and Maritimo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pacos de Ferreira

All competitions

Last Game: Famalicao 2-1 Pacos de Ferreira
Saturday, October 22 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Maritimo

All competitions

Last Game: Maritimo 1-1 Arouca
Sunday, October 23 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Maritimo
45.8% ( 0.1)	27% ( -0.03)	27.2% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 47.77% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.11% (

0.08)

56.89% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.19% (

0.06)

77.81% (

-0.06)

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.21% (

0.08)

24.79% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.63% (

0.11)

59.37% (

-0.11)

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.52% (

-0.01)

36.48% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.73% (

-0.01)

73.27% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Pacos de Ferreira 45.8%

Maritimo 27.2%

Draw 27%

Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Maritimo
1-0 @ 12.61% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.12% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.37% Total : 45.8%	1-1 @ 12.72% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.05% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27%	0-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.16% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0) Other @ 1.86% Total : 27.2%