Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10

Oct 23, 2022 at 3.30pm UK

Estádio dos Barreiros

Maritimo
1 - 1
Arouca

Vidigal (13')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Antony (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Maritimo and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Maritimo

All competitions

Last Game: Boavista 1-1 Maritimo
Sunday, October 9 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Arouca

All competitions

Last Game: Arouca 4-1 Famalicao
Monday, October 10 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 35.3%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.16%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (12.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.

Result
Maritimo	Draw	Arouca
35.3% ( -0.95)	29.84% ( -0.1)	34.86% ( 1.05)

Both teams to score 42.57% (

0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.41% (

0.35)

64.58% (

-0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.4% (

0.24)

83.6% (

-0.24)

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.4% (

-0.45)

34.6% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.68% (

-0.48)

71.32% (

0.48)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.1% (

0.91)

34.9% (

-0.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.36% (

0.95)

71.64% (

-0.95)

Score Analysis

Maritimo 35.3%

Arouca 34.86%

Draw 29.83%

Maritimo	Draw	Arouca
1-0 @ 12.81% ( -0.33) 2-1 @ 7.16% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.25% Total : 35.3%	1-1 @ 13.49% 0-0 @ 12.07% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.83%	0-1 @ 12.71% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.1% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.2% Total : 34.86%