Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 45.94%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 27.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Maritimo |
| 45.94% ( | 26.43% ( | 27.63% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.71% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.46% ( | 54.53% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.11% ( | 75.88% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.31% ( | 23.69% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.2% ( | 57.8% ( |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.14% ( | 34.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.4% ( | 71.59% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Maritimo |
| 1-0 @ 11.89% 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 2-0 @ 8.56% ( 3-1 @ 4.33% ( 3-0 @ 4.11% ( 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 4-0 @ 1.48% ( Other @ 2.69% Total : 45.94% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0-0 @ 8.26% ( 2-2 @ 4.76% ( Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 8.7% ( 1-2 @ 6.6% ( 0-2 @ 4.59% ( 1-3 @ 2.32% ( 2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0-3 @ 1.61% ( Other @ 2.13% Total : 27.63% |