Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 45.94%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 27.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Boavista | Draw | Maritimo |
45.94% ( -0.93) | 26.43% ( 0.23) | 27.63% ( 0.7) |
Both teams to score 49.71% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.46% ( -0.48) | 54.53% ( 0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.11% ( -0.4) | 75.88% ( 0.4) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.31% ( -0.64) | 23.69% ( 0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.2% ( -0.94) | 57.8% ( 0.93) |
Maritimo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.14% ( 0.31) | 34.86% ( -0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.4% ( 0.32) | 71.59% ( -0.33) |
Score Analysis |
Boavista | Draw | Maritimo |
1-0 @ 11.89% 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.69% Total : 45.94% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.13% Total : 27.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 92 | 29 | 63 | 84 |
2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 65 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 39 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 32 | 6 | 17 | 9 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 35 |
11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 32 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 68 | -37 | 23 |
R | Vizela | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | 64 | -34 | 22 |
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