Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.