Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Boavista |
| 43.14% ( | 27.43% ( | 29.43% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.85% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.57% ( | 57.43% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.76% ( | 78.24% ( |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.62% ( | 26.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.46% ( | 61.53% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65% ( | 35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.26% ( | 71.74% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Boavista |
| 1-0 @ 12.3% ( 2-1 @ 8.61% ( 2-0 @ 8.2% ( 3-1 @ 3.82% ( 3-0 @ 3.64% ( 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 4-1 @ 1.27% ( 4-0 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 2.07% Total : 43.13% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0-0 @ 9.23% ( 2-2 @ 4.52% ( Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.43% | 0-1 @ 9.69% ( 1-2 @ 6.78% ( 0-2 @ 5.09% ( 1-3 @ 2.37% ( 0-3 @ 1.78% ( 2-3 @ 1.58% ( Other @ 2.13% Total : 29.43% |