Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 10, 2022 at 8.15pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Famalicao logo

Arouca
4 - 1
Famalicao

Bukia (30'), Sylla (52'), Antony (58'), Dabbagh (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Colombatto (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 1-1 Arouca
Sunday, October 2 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Famalicao

All competitions
Last Game: Famalicao 4-0 Boavista
Sunday, October 2 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.47%) and 2-1 (7.37%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (12.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.

Result
AroucaDrawFamalicao
37.72% (1.067 1.07)30.06% (-0.368 -0.37)32.22% (-0.696 -0.7)
Both teams to score 41.72% (0.818 0.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.51% (1.029 1.03)65.49% (-1.025 -1.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.77% (0.707 0.71)84.23% (-0.703 -0.7)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.5% (1.244 1.24)33.5% (-1.24 -1.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.87% (1.337 1.34)70.13% (-1.332 -1.33)
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.73% (0.061 0.06)37.27% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.94% (0.058 0.06)74.06% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 37.71%
    Famalicao 32.22%
    Draw 30.05%
AroucaDrawFamalicao
1-0 @ 13.65% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.47% (0.219 0.22)
2-1 @ 7.37% (0.227 0.23)
3-0 @ 2.72% (0.168 0.17)
3-1 @ 2.69% (0.17 0.17)
3-2 @ 1.33% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 37.71%
1-1 @ 13.47% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 12.48% (-0.48 -0.48)
2-2 @ 3.64% (0.118 0.12)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 30.05%
0-1 @ 12.32% (-0.45 -0.45)
1-2 @ 6.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.08% (-0.215 -0.22)
1-3 @ 2.19% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 2% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.2% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 32.22%

How you voted: Arouca vs Famalicao

Arouca
30.5%
Draw
30.5%
Famalicao
39.0%
59
Head to Head
Jan 31, 2022 9.15pm
Famalicao
0-0
Arouca

Alex (75'), Marin (90+6')

Basso (37'), Bukia (54'), Esgaio (59')
Aug 20, 2021 7pm
Arouca
2-1
Famalicao
Basso (66' pen.), Miguel Pereira Da Silva (89')
Manuel da Silva Moreira (57'), Miguel Pereira Da Silva (77'), Correa dos Santos (90+2'), Filipe Alves Araujo (90+5')
Rodrigues (23')
Jose Gomes Oliveira Tavares (31'), Batubinsika (47'), Miguel Lapa Ricardo (79'), Assuncao (90+3')