Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10

Oct 22, 2022 at 3.30pm UK

Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho

Famalicao
2 - 1
Pacos de Ferreira

Kadile (20'), Moura (46')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Thomas (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Famalicao and Pacos de Ferreira, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Famalicao

All competitions

Last Game: Arouca 4-1 Famalicao
Monday, October 10 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Pacos de Ferreira

All competitions

Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 0-1 Guimaraes
Saturday, October 8 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 53.66%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 20.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (7.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Famalicao in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Famalicao.

Result
Famalicao	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
53.66% ( 0.08)	25.77% ( -0.04)	20.58% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 44.61% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.39% (

0.08)

57.61% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.62% (

0.06)

78.38% (

-0.06)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.44% (

0.07)

21.56% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.37% (

0.1)

54.63% (

-0.1)

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.87%

43.13% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.6% (

79.4% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Famalicao 53.64%

Pacos de Ferreira 20.58%

Draw 25.76%

Famalicao	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
1-0 @ 14.26% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.94% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.71% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 53.64%	1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.87% ( 0) Other @ 0.6% Total : 25.76%	0-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.09% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.01% Total : 20.58%