Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.9%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 1-0 (9.86%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.