Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
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Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 4, 2026 at 8.30pm UK
 
Famalicao logo

Alverca
vs.
FamalicaoFamalicao

Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Alverca and Famalicao.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alverca

All competitions
Last Game: Estoril 4-1 Alverca
Saturday, December 27 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Famalicao

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 2-3 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, December 27 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Famalicao win with a probability of 42.7%. A win for Alverca has a probability of 31.54% and a draw has a probability of 25.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Alverca win is 1-0 (8.41%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.24%).

Result
AlvercaDrawFamalicao
31.54% (0.131 0.13)25.76% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)42.7% (-0.116 -0.12)
Both teams to score 53.9% (0.11000000000001 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.89% (0.118 0.12)50.1% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.92% (0.105 0.11)72.07% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)
Alverca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.3% (0.146 0.15)29.7% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.25% (0.17899999999999 0.18)65.75% (-0.18299999999999 -0.18)
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.67% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)23.32% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.72% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)57.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Alverca 31.54%
    Famalicao 42.69%
    Draw 25.76%
AlvercaDrawFamalicao
1-0 @ 8.41% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.43% (0.025 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.11% (0.017 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.01% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.07% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 0.91% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 31.54%
1-1 @ 12.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.93% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.41% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 10.08% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 8.91% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.34% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.32% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-3 @ 3.56% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.63% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.57% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.3% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 42.69%