Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Arouca
Primeira Liga
Dec 14, 2025 at 8.30pm UK
 

AroucaArouca
1-0
Alverca

Lee (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Cesar (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Alverca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions
Last Game: Arouca 1-0 Alverca
Sunday, December 14 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Next Game: Santa Clara vs. Arouca
Sunday, December 21 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Alverca

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 1-0 Alverca
Sunday, December 14 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Next Game: Alverca vs. Porto
Monday, December 22 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alverca win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Alverca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (9.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
AroucaDrawAlverca
35.7%26.18%38.12%
Both teams to score 53.59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.02%50.97%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.15%72.84%
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.51%27.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.01%62.99%
Alverca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.9%26.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.84%61.15%
Score Analysis
    Arouca 35.7%
    Alverca 38.12%
    Draw 26.17%
AroucaDrawAlverca
1-0 @ 9.26%
2-1 @ 8.04%
2-0 @ 5.98%
3-1 @ 3.46%
3-0 @ 2.58%
3-2 @ 2.32%
4-1 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 35.7%
1-1 @ 12.44%
0-0 @ 7.17%
2-2 @ 5.4%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.17%
0-1 @ 9.64%
1-2 @ 8.36%
0-2 @ 6.47%
1-3 @ 3.74%
0-3 @ 2.9%
2-3 @ 2.42%
1-4 @ 1.26%
0-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 38.12%