Primeira Liga
Dec 14, 2025 8.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Hyun-ju Lee 59' goal
  • Tiago Esgaio 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sandro Cesar 18'
  • redcard Sandro Cesar 22'
  • redcard Sandro Cesar 23'
  • yellowcard Nabili Touaizi 34'
  • yellowcard Kaiky Naves 41'
  • yellowcard Lincoln 73'
  • yellowcard Lincoln 74'
  • yellowcard 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Francisco Rodrigues 90'+5'

Arouca vs Alverca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions
Last game
Dec 7, 2025 6.00pm
Estrela Amadora 3 - 1 Arouca
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Hyun-ju Lee

Alverca

All competitions
Last game
Dec 7, 2025 6.00pm
Alverca 1 - 0 Nacional
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Marko Milovanovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alverca win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Alverca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (9.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result

Arouca 35.7%
Draw 26.18%
Alverca 38.12%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.59%

Goals

Over 2.5 49.02%
Under 2.5 50.97%
Over 3.5 27.15%
Under 3.5 72.84%
Over 4.5 12.75%
Under 4.5 87.25%

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5 72.51%
Under 0.5 27.49%
Over 1.5 37.01%
Under 1.5 62.99%

Alverca Goals

Over 0.5 73.9%
Under 0.5 26.1%
Over 1.5 38.84%
Under 1.5 61.15%

Score analysis

Arouca 35.7%
Draw 26.17%
Alverca 38.12%
Arouca
1-0 @ 9.26%
2-1 @ 8.04%
2-0 @ 5.98%
3-1 @ 3.46%
3-0 @ 2.58%
3-2 @ 2.32%
4-1 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 35.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.44%
0-0 @ 7.17%
2-2 @ 5.4%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.17%
Alverca
0-1 @ 9.64%
1-2 @ 8.36%
0-2 @ 6.47%
1-3 @ 3.74%
0-3 @ 2.9%
2-3 @ 2.42%
1-4 @ 1.26%
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 38.12%