Primeira Liga
Estrela Amadora
Dec 7, 2025 6.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Arouca
  • Kikas 29' goal
  • Abraham Marcus 34' goal
  • Oumar Ngom 45' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Pinho 89' goal
  • yellowcard Alex Pinto 24'
  • redcard Alex Pinto 28'
  • yellowcard Espen van Ee 51'
  • yellowcard Nais Djouahra 51'
  • goal Taichi Fukui 59'
  • redcard Taichi Fukui 68'
  • yellowcard Pedro Santos 85'
  • yellowcard Hyun-ju Lee 90'+7'

Estrela Amadora vs Arouca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Estrela Amadora

All competitions
Last game
Nov 30, 2025 6.00pm
Sporting Lisbon 4 - 0 Estrela Amadora
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Kikas

Arouca

All competitions
Last game
Dec 1, 2025 8.15pm
Arouca 0 - 4 Braga
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Hyun-ju Lee

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (8.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result

Estrela Amadora 41.63%
Draw 25.78%
Arouca 32.58%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.25%

Goals

Over 2.5 50.16%
Under 2.5 49.83%
Over 3.5 28.16%
Under 3.5 71.83%
Over 4.5 13.42%
Under 4.5 86.57%

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5 76.26%
Under 0.5 23.73%
Over 1.5 42.13%
Under 1.5 57.86%

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5 71.12%
Under 0.5 28.87%
Over 1.5 35.26%
Under 1.5 64.73%

Score analysis

Estrela Amadora 41.63%
Draw 25.78%
Arouca 32.58%
Estrela Amadora
1-0 @ 9.85%
2-1 @ 8.81%
2-0 @ 7.09%
3-1 @ 4.22%
3-0 @ 3.4%
3-2 @ 2.62%
4-1 @ 1.52%
4-0 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 41.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.24%
0-0 @ 6.85%
2-2 @ 5.47%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.78%
Arouca
0-1 @ 8.51%
1-2 @ 7.61%
0-2 @ 5.29%
1-3 @ 3.15%
2-3 @ 2.27%
0-3 @ 2.19%
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 32.58%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 30
Arouca
Apr 19, 2025 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Estrela Amadora
  • Alfonso Trezza 5' goal
  • Jose Fontan 39' yellowcard
  • Jason 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Alex Pinto 56' yellowcard
  • Dylan Nandin 67' goal
  • Pedro Santos 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jovane Cabral 43'
  • yellowcard Alan Ruiz 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Francisco Sacalumbo 75'
  • yellowcard Ferro 88'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 13
Estrela Amadora
Dec 9, 2024 8.15pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Jose Gomes
Arouca
  • Paulo Daniel Valente Moreira 37' yellowcard
  • Danilo Veiga 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Tiago Esgaio 58' goal
  • Kikas 65' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Pinho 68' goal
  • Manuel Keliano 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Jason 4'
  • yellowcard Amadou Dante 6'
  • yellowcard Jason 81'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 32
Arouca
May 5, 2024 6.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Estrela Amadora
  • Matias Rocha 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nilton Varela 40'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Pinho 44'
  • yellowcard Leo Cordeiro 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Leonel Bucca 90'+6'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 15
Estrela Amadora
Dec 28, 2023 8.15pm
1
4
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jose Gomes
Arouca
  • Kialonda Gaspar 11' goal
  • Dida 71' redcard
  • yellowcard Rafa Mujica 40'
  • goal Rafa Mujica 47'
  • yellowcard Morlaye Sylla 66'
  • goal Jason 77'
  • goal Francisco Montero 80'
  • goal Andre Bukia 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Ignacio De Arruabarrena 90'+7'

Form Data

Sporting Lisbon 4 - 0 Estrela Amadora
Estrela Amadora 1 - 1 Nacional
Casa Pia 3 - 5 Estrela Amadora
Estrela Amadora 1 - 2 Rio Ave
Alpendorada 3 - 1 Estrela Amadora
Gil Vicente 2 - 0 Estrela Amadora
Arouca 0 - 4 Braga
Estoril 4 - 3 Arouca
Arouca 0 - 2 Moreirense
Benfica 5 - 0 Arouca
Portimonense 1 - 2 Arouca
Arouca 1 - 1 Famalicao