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Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16
Dec 27, 2025 at 8.30pm UK
 

EstorilEstoril Praia
vs.
Alverca

Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Alverca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Last Game: Estoril 1-0 Braga
Friday, December 19 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Alverca

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 1-0 Alverca
Sunday, December 14 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Next Game: Alverca vs. Porto
Monday, December 22 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Alverca has a probability of 33.97% and a draw has a probability of 25.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Alverca win is 0-1 (8.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.19%).

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawAlverca
40.32% (0.083000000000006 0.08)25.71% (0.013000000000002 0.01)33.97% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)
Both teams to score 54.86% (-0.064 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.79% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)49.21% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.72% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)71.28% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.88% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)24.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.58% (0.014000000000003 0.01)58.42% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Alverca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.31% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)27.69% (0.096 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.75% (-0.12 -0.12)63.25% (0.123 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 40.32%
    Alverca 33.97%
    Draw 25.71%
Estoril PraiaDrawAlverca
1-0 @ 9.5% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.67% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.76% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.11% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 3.2% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.46% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.14% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 40.32%
1-1 @ 12.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.68% (0.021 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.57% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.71%
0-1 @ 8.58% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 7.83% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.51% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.35% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.36% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.08% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 33.97%