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Estoril
Estrela Amadora
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Moreirense
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Porto
Rio Ave
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Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estoril
Primeira Liga
Dec 27, 2025 at 8.30pm UK
 

EstorilEstoril Praia
4-1
Alverca

Meupiyou (36' og., 60' og.), Begraoui (43', 47')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Amorim de Freitas Filho (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Alverca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Last Game: Estoril 4-1 Alverca
Saturday, December 27 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Next Game: Benfica vs. Estoril
Saturday, January 3 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Alverca

All competitions
Last Game: Estoril 4-1 Alverca
Saturday, December 27 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Next Game: Alverca vs. Famalicao
Sunday, January 4 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for Alverca had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Alverca win was 0-1 (8.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawAlverca
40.22% (-0.106 -0.11)25.71% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)34.07% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
Both teams to score 54.89% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.81% (0.027999999999999 0.03)49.18% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.75% (0.026 0.03)71.25% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.84% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)24.16% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.52% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)58.48% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Alverca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.38% (0.076999999999998 0.08)27.61% (-0.081 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.85% (0.103 0.1)63.15% (-0.106 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 40.22%
    Alverca 34.07%
    Draw 25.7%
Estoril PraiaDrawAlverca
1-0 @ 9.48% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.66% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.73% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.1% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.19% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.64%
4-1 @ 1.46% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.13% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 40.22%
1-1 @ 12.19%
0-0 @ 6.67% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.57% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.7%
0-1 @ 8.59% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.85% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.52% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.37% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.39% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.37% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.08% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 34.07%