Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 34.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (9.39%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Moreirense |
| 39.02% | 26.45% | 34.52% |
| Both teams to score 52.53% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.74% | 52.25% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.04% | 73.95% |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.8% | 26.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.72% | 61.28% |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.17% | 28.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.32% | 64.68% |
| Score Analysis |
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Moreirense |
| 1-0 @ 10.11% 2-1 @ 8.43% 2-0 @ 6.78% 3-1 @ 3.76% 3-0 @ 3.03% 3-2 @ 2.34% 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.3% Total : 39.02% | 1-1 @ 12.58% 0-0 @ 7.55% 2-2 @ 5.24% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.45% | 0-1 @ 9.39% 1-2 @ 7.83% 0-2 @ 5.84% 1-3 @ 3.25% 0-3 @ 2.42% 2-3 @ 2.17% 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.61% Total : 34.52% |