Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 67.34%. A draw had a probability of 19.49% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 13.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.6%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%) , while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.