Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16

Dec 28, 2024 at 6pm UK

Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota

Estoril
2 - 2
Moreirense

Marques (22' pen.), Costa (45+3')
Bacher (16'), Pina (34')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Gabrielzinho (2'), Nlavo (57')
Peixoto (77'), Martins (85'), Frimpong (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Moreirense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Last Game: Benfica 3-0 Estoril
Monday, December 23 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Moreirense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Moreirense 0-3 Porto
Saturday, December 21 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 36.6%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (11.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Estoril Praia	Draw	Moreirense
36.6% ( -0.2)	28.22% ( -0.03)	35.18% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 47.12% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.93% (

0.12)

59.07% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.47% (

0.09)

79.53% (

-0.09)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.1% (

-0.07)

30.9% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.81% (

-0.08)

67.19% (

0.08)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.2% (

0.21)

31.8% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.76% (

0.24)

68.24% (

-0.24)

Score Analysis

Estoril Praia 36.6%

Moreirense 35.17%

Draw 28.22%

Estoril Praia	Draw	Moreirense
1-0 @ 11.54% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( 0) Other @ 3.09% Total : 36.6%	1-1 @ 13.22% 0-0 @ 9.83% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.22%	0-1 @ 11.25% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.57% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 35.17%