Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14

Dec 14, 2024 at 6pm UK

Estadio da Madeira

Nacional
1 - 0
Moreirense

Gomes (55')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Alan (24'), Marcelo (90'), Miguel Costa Santos (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Nacional and Moreirense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Gil Vicente 2-1 Nacional
Saturday, December 7 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Moreirense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Moreirense 2-1 Sporting Lisbon
Thursday, December 5 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 41%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nacional in this match.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Moreirense
41% ( -0)	26.49%	32.51% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 51.93% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.19% (

0.01)

52.81% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.57% (

0.01)

74.43% (

-0)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.61% (

25.38% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.81% (

60.19% (

-0)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.6% (

0.01)

30.4% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.4% (

0.01)

66.6% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Nacional 41%

Moreirense 32.51%

Draw 26.48%

Nacional	Draw	Moreirense
1-0 @ 10.58% 2-1 @ 8.64% 2-0 @ 7.25% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.95% 3-0 @ 3.31% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.43% Total : 41%	1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 7.72% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.48%	0-1 @ 9.19% 1-2 @ 7.5% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.47% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.17% 2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0) Other @ 3.16% Total : 32.51%