Primeira Liga | Gameweek 13

Dec 7, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Cidade de Barcelos

Gil Vicente
2 - 1
Nacional

Garcia Gonzalez (7'), Fernandes (90+7')
Garcia Gonzalez (89'), Fernandes (90+9'), Aguirre de Cespedes (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ulisses (50')
Soumare (41'), Aguiar Tomich (41'), Esteves (56'), Franca (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and Nacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Guimaraes 4-0 Gil Vicente
Monday, December 2 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Nacional

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Nacional 0-0 Boavista
Saturday, November 30 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 56.07%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 19.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Gil Vicente in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Gil Vicente.

Result
Gil Vicente	Draw	Nacional
56.07% ( -0.14)	23.99% ( 0.04)	19.93% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 48.59% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.16% (

-0.03)

51.83% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.4% (

-0.03)

73.59% (

0.02)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.66% (

-0.06)

18.33% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.56% (

-0.11)

49.43% (

0.1)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.5% (

0.08)

40.49% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.89% (

0.07)

77.1% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Gil Vicente 56.07%

Nacional 19.93%

Draw 23.99%

Gil Vicente	Draw	Nacional
1-0 @ 12.59% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.68% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.47% 4-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 3.25% Total : 56.07%	1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.82% Total : 23.99%	0-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.26% Total : 19.93%