Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 53.54%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 20.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Boavista |
53.54% ( 0.07) | 25.64% ( -0.06) | 20.82% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 45.27% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.08% ( 0.19) | 56.92% ( -0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.17% ( 0.15) | 77.83% ( -0.16) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.68% ( 0.11) | 21.32% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.73% ( 0.16) | 54.27% ( -0.17) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.53% ( 0.1) | 42.46% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.16% ( 0.08) | 78.83% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Boavista |
1-0 @ 13.99% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 10.81% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.09% Total : 53.53% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.05% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.63% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 1.07% Total : 20.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 39 | 6 | 33 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 8 | 22 | 30 |
3 | Benfica | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 7 | 23 | 28 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 24 |
5 | Braga | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 23 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 21 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 17 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 15 |
10 | Casa Pia | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 13 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 13 |
12 | BoavistaBoavista | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 10 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 10 |
14 | AVS | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 10 |
15 | Nacional | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 9 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 9 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 8 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 21 | -15 | 8 |
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