Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 53.54%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 20.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Boavista |
| 53.54% ( | 25.64% ( | 20.82% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.27% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.08% ( | 56.92% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.17% ( | 77.83% ( |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.68% ( | 21.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.73% ( | 54.27% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.53% ( | 42.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.16% ( | 78.83% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Boavista |
| 1-0 @ 13.99% ( 2-0 @ 10.81% ( 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 3-0 @ 5.57% ( 3-1 @ 4.77% ( 4-0 @ 2.15% ( 3-2 @ 2.04% ( 4-1 @ 1.84% ( Other @ 3.09% Total : 53.53% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( 0-0 @ 9.05% ( 2-2 @ 3.97% ( Other @ 0.63% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 7.75% ( 1-2 @ 5.13% ( 0-2 @ 3.32% ( 1-3 @ 1.47% ( 2-3 @ 1.13% ( 0-3 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 1.07% Total : 20.82% |