Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 58.4%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 18.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.89%) and 1-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Benfica |
| 18.6% ( | 23% ( | 58.4% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.38% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.34% ( | 49.66% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.32% ( | 71.68% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.28% ( | 40.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.7% ( | 77.3% ( |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.29% | 16.71% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.4% ( | 46.6% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Benfica |
| 1-0 @ 6.11% ( 2-1 @ 4.91% ( 2-0 @ 2.75% ( 3-1 @ 1.47% ( 3-2 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 2.04% Total : 18.6% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0-0 @ 6.8% ( 2-2 @ 4.4% ( Other @ 0.87% Total : 23% | 0-1 @ 12.17% ( 0-2 @ 10.89% ( 1-2 @ 9.79% ( 0-3 @ 6.5% ( 1-3 @ 5.84% ( 0-4 @ 2.91% ( 2-3 @ 2.62% ( 1-4 @ 2.61% ( 2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0-5 @ 1.04% ( 1-5 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 1.93% Total : 58.4% |