Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 61.61%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 17.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.36%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Benfica |
| 17.36% ( | 21.03% ( | 61.61% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.33% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.8% ( | 43.2% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.4% ( | 65.6% ( |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.66% ( | 38.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.9% ( | 75.1% ( |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.49% ( | 13.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.46% ( | 40.54% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rio Ave | Draw | Benfica |
| 1-0 @ 4.96% ( 2-1 @ 4.76% ( 2-0 @ 2.38% ( 3-2 @ 1.52% ( 3-1 @ 1.52% ( Other @ 2.21% Total : 17.36% | 1-1 @ 9.94% ( 0-0 @ 5.18% ( 2-2 @ 4.77% ( 3-3 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.03% | 0-2 @ 10.37% ( 0-1 @ 10.36% ( 1-2 @ 9.95% ( 0-3 @ 6.93% ( 1-3 @ 6.64% ( 0-4 @ 3.47% ( 1-4 @ 3.32% ( 2-3 @ 3.18% ( 2-4 @ 1.59% ( 0-5 @ 1.39% ( 1-5 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 3.06% Total : 61.59% |