Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 53.27%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 24.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 2-1 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Benfica |
| 24.01% ( | 22.72% ( | 53.27% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.19% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.21% ( | 41.79% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.81% ( | 64.19% ( |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.02% ( | 30.97% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.72% ( | 67.28% ( |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.3% ( | 15.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.24% ( | 44.76% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Benfica |
| 2-1 @ 6.18% ( 1-0 @ 5.7% ( 2-0 @ 3.34% ( 3-1 @ 2.42% ( 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 3-0 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 2.83% Total : 24.01% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( 2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0-0 @ 4.86% ( 3-3 @ 1.38% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.72% | 1-2 @ 9.77% ( 0-1 @ 9% ( 0-2 @ 8.34% ( 1-3 @ 6.03% ( 0-3 @ 5.15% ( 2-3 @ 3.53% ( 1-4 @ 2.79% ( 0-4 @ 2.38% ( 2-4 @ 1.64% ( 1-5 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 3.61% Total : 53.27% |