Primeira Liga Gameweek 28
Sporting Lisbon
Apr 6, 2024 8.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
Benfica
  • Geny Catamo 1' goal
  • Geny Catamo 4' yellowcard
  • Nuno Santos 5' yellowcard
  • Morten Hjulmand 27' yellowcard
  • Geny Catamo 90'+1' goal
  • Paulinho 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Otamendi 27'
  • yellowcard David Neres 39'
  • yellowcard Alexander Bah 45'+1'
  • goal Alexander Bah 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Casper Tengstedt 74'
  • yellowcard Fredrik Aursnes 86'
  • redcard Fredrik Aursnes 90'+8'
  • yellowcard Antonio Silva 90'+9'

Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Last game
Mar 29, 2024 8.30pm
Estrela Amadora 1 - 2 Sporting Lisbon
Goals scored
96
Top scorer
Viktor Gyokeres

Benfica

All competitions
Last game
Mar 29, 2024 6.00pm
Benfica 1 - 0 Chaves
Goals scored
77
Top scorer
Rafa Silva

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 58.12%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 22.52% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.07%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Benfica win was 1-2 (5.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.

Result

Sporting Lisbon 58.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 19.35% ▲ (+0.01)
Benfica 22.52% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

68.83% ▼ (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 72.85% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 27.15% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 52.32% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 47.67% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 4.5 32.9% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 67.09% ▲ (+0.03)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5 90.5% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 9.49% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 68.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 31.84% ▲ (+0.01)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5 76.05% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 0.5 23.94% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 1.5 41.82% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 58.17% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Sporting Lisbon 58.12%
Draw 19.35%
Benfica 22.52%
Sporting Lisbon
2-1 @ 9.01% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.07% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.3% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 5.35% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 5.05% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.95% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 4.16%
4-2 @ 2.98% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.91% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.96%
4-3 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 58.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.65% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.44% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 2.41% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 2.27% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 19.35%
Benfica
1-2 @ 5.47%
0-1 @ 3.25% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.07% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.61% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.32%
0-3 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 22.52%

Head to Head

Taca de Portugal
Benfica
Apr 2, 2024 8.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Sporting Lisbon
  • Angel di Maria 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Otamendi 52' goal
  • Rafa Silva 64' goal
  • Roger Schmidt 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Morten Hjulmand 47'
  • yellowcard Goncalo Inacio 49'
  • goal Paulinho 55'
  • yellowcard Hidemasa Morita 72'
  • yellowcard Franco Israel 77'
  • yellowcard Marcus Edwards 90'+2'
Taca de Portugal
Sporting Lisbon
Feb 29, 2024 8.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
Benfica
  • Pedro Goncalves 9' goal
  • Morten Hjulmand 33' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 41' yellowcard
  • Viktor Gyokeres 54' goal
  • yellowcard Roger Schmidt 0'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Otamendi 31'
  • goal Fredrik Aursnes 68'
  • yellowcard Angel di Maria 74'
  • yellowcard Orkun Kokcu 75'
  • yellowcard Rafa Silva 78'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 11
Benfica
Nov 12, 2023 8.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Sporting Lisbon
  • Joao Mario 66' yellowcard
  • Joao Neves 75' yellowcard
  • Joao Neves 90'+4' goal
  • Casper Tengstedt 90'+7' goal
  • yellowcard Sebastian Coates 15'
  • yellowcard Goncalo Inacio 22'
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 45'
  • redcard Goncalo Inacio 51'
  • yellowcard Marcus Edwards 57'
  • yellowcard Morten Hjulmand 69'
  • yellowcard Luis Neto 90'+11'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 33
Sporting Lisbon
May 21, 2023 8.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Estádio José Alvalade
Benfica
  • Francisco Trincao 39' goal
  • Ousmane Diomande 44' goal
  • goal Fredrik Aursnes 71'
  • goal Joao Neves 90'+4'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 16
Benfica
Jan 15, 2023 6.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Sporting Lisbon
  • Goncalo Ramos 37' goal
  • Goncalo Ramos 64' goal
  • goal Alexander Bah 27'
  • goal Pedro Goncalves 53'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 30
Sporting Lisbon
Apr 17, 2022 8.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Benfica
  • Pablo Sarabia 13' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 51' yellowcard
  • goal Darwin Nunez 14'
  • yellowcard Everton 41'
  • yellowcard Jan Vertonghen 51'
  • yellowcard Adel Taarabt 75'
  • goal Gil Dias 90'+2'

Form Data

Benfica 2 - 2 Sporting Lisbon
Estrela Amadora 1 - 2 Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon 6 - 1 Boavista
Atalanta 2 - 1 Sporting Lisbon
Arouca 0 - 3 Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon 1 - 1 Atalanta
Benfica 2 - 2 Sporting Lisbon
Benfica 1 - 0 Chaves
Casa Pia 0 - 1 Benfica
Rangers 0 - 1 Benfica
Benfica 3 - 1 Estoril
Benfica 2 - 2 Rangers