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Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
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Nacional
Porto
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Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Benfica
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22
Feb 18, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Vizela

Benfica
6 - 1
Vizela

Neres (16', 45+1'), Otamendi (25'), Gouveia (30'), Silva (45+4'), Leonardo (88')
FT(HT: 5-0)
Essende (48')
Costa (40'), Anderson (52'), Essende (59'), Busnic (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Vizela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Benfica 2-1 Toulouse
Thursday, February 15 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-1 Vizela
Tuesday, February 13 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 76.74%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 8.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.07%) and 3-0 (10.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.24%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (2.97%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
BenficaDrawVizela
76.74% (1.067 1.07)15.24% (-0.43 -0.43)8.02% (-0.64 -0.64)
Both teams to score 43.81% (-1.436 -1.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.7% (-0.255 -0.25)40.3% (0.251 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.33% (-0.264 -0.26)62.67% (0.259 0.26)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.26% (0.18300000000001 0.18)8.74% (-0.1871 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.97% (0.452 0.45)30.03% (-0.455 -0.46)
Vizela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48% (-1.675 -1.68)52% (1.671 1.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.99% (-1.124 -1.12)86% (1.121 1.12)
Score Analysis
    Benfica 76.72%
    Vizela 8.02%
    Draw 15.24%
BenficaDrawVizela
2-0 @ 13.49% (0.38 0.38)
1-0 @ 11.07% (0.22 0.22)
3-0 @ 10.96% (0.4 0.4)
2-1 @ 8.83% (-0.176 -0.18)
3-1 @ 7.17% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-0 @ 6.68% (0.303 0.3)
4-1 @ 4.37% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
5-0 @ 3.26% (0.175 0.18)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.145 -0.15)
5-1 @ 2.13% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.43% (-0.075 -0.08)
6-0 @ 1.32% (0.082 0.08)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 76.72%
1-1 @ 7.24% (-0.209 -0.21)
0-0 @ 4.54% (0.052 0.05)
2-2 @ 2.89% (-0.205 -0.21)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 15.24%
0-1 @ 2.97% (-0.112 -0.11)
1-2 @ 2.37% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-2 @ 0.97% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 8.02%

How you voted: Benfica vs Vizela

Benfica
96.0%
Draw
4.0%
Vizela
0.0%
25
Head to Head
Feb 8, 2024 8.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Vizela
1-2
Benfica
Petrov (68')
Samu (36'), Costa (57'), Pereira (61'), Jardel (90+2')
Cabral (34'), Mario (65')
di Maria (45'), Fernandez (56'), Otamendi (90+3')
Sep 16, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 5
Vizela
1-2
Benfica
Samu (70' pen.)
Pereira (90+5'), Wilson (90+12')
Musa (9'), Di Maria (39')
Aursnes (67')
Feb 25, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 22
Vizela
0-2
Benfica
Mario (38', 90+5')
Sep 2, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 5
Benfica
2-1
Vizela
Neres (76'), Mario (90+12' pen.)
Otamendi (42'), Fernandez (51'), Mario (82'), Aursnes (84'), Ramos (89')
Ramos (90+1'), Mario (90+13')
Osmajic (20')
Guzzo (26'), Silva (45+1'), Mendez (86'), Rosa (90+9')
Mar 11, 2022 8.15pm
Gameweek 26
Benfica
1-1
Vizela
Araujo (75')
Nunez (64'), (86')
Taarabt (7')
Cassiano (65')
Rashid (11'), Wilson (16'), Afonso (45'), Bondoso (78'), Mendez (90+3'), Claudemir (90+5')