Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18

Jan 18, 2024 at 8.45pm UK

Estadio Do Vizela

Vizela
2 - 5
Sporting Lisbon

Soro (13'), Essende (63')
Buntic (37'), Anderson (66'), Bustamante (89')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Gyokeres (45+8', 86'), Trincao (46'), Paulinho (57'), Coates (72')
Hjulmand (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Primeira Liga clash between Vizela and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vizela

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Vizela 1-4 Boavista
Sunday, January 14 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Chaves 0-3 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, January 13 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 66.85%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 14.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.85%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Vizela win it was 1-0 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Vizela	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
14.19% ( 0.13)	18.96% ( 0.03)	66.85% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 52.97% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.02% (

0.18)

39.98% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.66% (

0.19)

62.35% (

-0.18)

Vizela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.56% (

0.3)

40.44% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.95% (

0.27)

77.05% (

-0.26)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.93% (

0.02)

11.07% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.57% (

0.02)

35.44% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Vizela 14.19%

Sporting Lisbon 66.85%

Draw 18.96%

Vizela	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 4.05% 2-1 @ 4.04% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.7% Total : 14.19%	1-1 @ 8.92% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.96%	0-2 @ 10.84% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 9.82% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 7.96% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 7.2% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 4.38% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 3.96% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.03) 0-5 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.74% ( 0) Other @ 4.12% Total : 66.85%