Primeira Liga Gameweek 16
Sporting Lisbon
Jan 5, 2024 6.45pm
5
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
Estoril
  • Marcus Edwards 21' goal
  • Marcus Edwards 45'+2' goal
  • Pedro Alvaro 51' goal
  • Pedro Goncalves 69' goal
  • Francisco Trincao 78' goal
  • Antonio Adan 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pedro Alvaro 39'
  • goal Cassiano 82'
  • yellowcard Heriberto Tavares 83'
  • yellowcard Eliaquim Mangala 89'

Sporting Lisbon vs Estoril Praia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Last game
Dec 30, 2023 8.30pm
Portimonense 1 - 2 Sporting Lisbon
Goals scored
96
Top scorer
Viktor Gyokeres

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Last game
Dec 30, 2023 3.30pm
Estoril 4 - 0 Farense
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Alejandro Marques

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 81.42%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 6.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.48%) and 1-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.85%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (2.1%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result

Sporting Lisbon 81.42% ▲ (+0.34)
Draw 12.35% ▼ (-0.29)
Estoril Praia 6.23% ▼ (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.34% ▲ (+0.88)

Goals

Over 2.5 66.93% ▲ (+1.27)
Under 2.5 33.06% ▼ (-1.28)
Over 3.5 45.2% ▲ (+1.45)
Under 3.5 54.79% ▼ (-1.46)
Over 4.5 26.47% ▲ (+1.24)
Under 4.5 73.52% ▼ (-1.25)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5 93.84% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 0.5 6.16% ▼ (-0.33)
Over 1.5 76.68% ▲ (+0.90)
Under 1.5 23.31% ▼ (-0.91)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5 48.32% ▲ (+0.77)
Under 0.5 51.68% ▼ (-0.78)
Over 1.5 14.2% ▲ (+0.51)
Under 1.5 85.79% ▼ (-0.52)

Score analysis

Sporting Lisbon 81.41%
Draw 12.35%
Estoril Praia 6.23%
Sporting Lisbon
2-0 @ 12.36% ▼ (-0.37)
3-0 @ 11.48% ▼ (-0.12)
1-0 @ 8.87% ▼ (-0.44)
2-1 @ 8.16% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 8.01% ▲ (+0.07)
3-1 @ 7.58% ▲ (+0.10)
4-1 @ 5.29% ▲ (+0.17)
5-0 @ 4.46% ▲ (+0.12)
5-1 @ 2.95% ▲ (+0.15)
3-2 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.09)
6-0 @ 2.07% ▲ (+0.10)
4-2 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.10)
6-1 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 4.56%
Total : 81.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.85% ▼ (-0.15)
0-0 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.22)
2-2 @ 2.69% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 12.35%
Estoril Praia
0-1 @ 2.1% ▼ (-0.10)
1-2 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 6.23%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 22
Sporting Lisbon
Feb 27, 2023 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio José Alvalade
Estoril
  • Hector Bellerin 40' goal
  • Francisco Trincao 51' goal
Primeira Liga Gameweek 5
Estoril
Sep 2, 2022 9.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Sporting Lisbon
  • Mor Ndiaye 68' yellowcard
  • Bernardo Vital 73' yellowcard
  • Pedro Alvaro 81' yellowcard
  • Tiago Gouveia 84' yellowcard
  • James Lea Siliki 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Jeremiah St Juste 13'
  • goal Marcus Edwards 21'
  • yellowcard Marcus Edwards 57'
  • yellowcard Antonio Adan 66'
  • yellowcard Rochinha 78'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Coates 83'
  • yellowcard Pedro Porro 86'
  • yellowcard Manuel Ugarte 88'
  • yellowcard Issahaku Fatawu 90'+3'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 23
Sporting Lisbon
Feb 20, 2022 6.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Estoril
  • Pedro Goncalves 40' goal
  • Pablo Sarabia 50' yellowcard
  • Pedro Porro 50' yellowcard
  • Matheus Reis 76' goal
  • Pablo Sarabia 81' goal
  • Matheus Reis 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nahuel Ferraresi 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Joaozinho 54'
  • redcard Raul Silva 64'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Acevedo 86'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 6
Estoril
Sep 19, 2021 8.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Sporting Lisbon
  • Dani Figueira 65' yellowcard
  • Chico Geraldes 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Loreintz Rosier 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Pedro Porro 67'
  • yellowcard Nuno Santos 84'
  • yellowcard Paulinho 90'+4'
Primeira Liga
Estoril
Feb 4, 2018 6.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estádio António Coimbra da Mota (Estoril)
Sporting Lisbon
  • Charis Kyriakou 27' goal
  • Ewandro 31' goal
  • Ewandro 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fabio Coentrao 59'
  • yellowcard William Carvalho 72'
  • yellowcard Marcos Acuna 87'
Primeira Liga
Sporting Lisbon
Aug 27, 2017 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Estoril
  • Gelson Martins 4' goal
  • Bruno Fernandes 11' goal
  • Rodrigo Battaglia 35' yellowcard
  • Bruno Fernandes 66' yellowcard
  • Marcos Acuna 74' yellowcard
  • Radosav Petrovic 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Duarte Valente 45'
  • yellowcard Lucas Evangelista 53'
  • yellowcard Andre Claro 59'
  • yellowcard Pedro Monteiro 75'
  • goal Lucas Evangelista 85'
  • yellowcard Oumar Diakhite 90'

Form Data

Portimonense 1 - 2 Sporting Lisbon
Tondela 1 - 2 Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon 2 - 0 Porto
Sporting Lisbon 3 - 0 Sturm Graz
Guimaraes 3 - 2 Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon 3 - 1 Gil Vicente
Estoril 4 - 0 Farense
Famalicao 1 - 1 Estoril
Estoril 4 - 0 Chaves
Estoril 3 - 1 Porto
Braga 3 - 1 Estoril
Estoril 2 - 1 Mafra